After a break for the men’s competition at the Tokyo Olympics, the PGA Tour resumes with the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, and the opposite-field Barracuda Championship, which uses Stableford scoring.
This week’s WGC event features only 66 players, but 48 of the top 50 players in the world are in the field. TPC Southwind is a simple course when it comes to handicapping. To be successful, players need to be elite from 150-200 yards, as we will see upwards of 60% of approach shots from that range this week. (On a normal week, that number would be 35-40%.) The emphasis on a specific yardage allows us to focus on certain players at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. In a field of only 66 players, we can narrow it down even further. Let’s look at three particularly strong candidates for both DraftKings and one-and-done leagues.
DraftKings and One-and-Done
Brooks Koepka $10,600
Koepka is top 10 in proximity from both 150-175 and 175-200 yards, so it comes as no surprise that in his seven starts at TPC Southwind, he has four top-three finishes. He comes into the WGC-FedEx St. Jude in good form, having finished in the top six in four of his past five events (three of which were majors).
Daniel Berger $9,200
Berger is top three in proximity from 150-175 and 175-200 yards as well as top 15 in accuracy off the tee. So once again, it’s not a surprise that in his four appearances at TPC Southwind, he has racked up two wins and a runner-up. Berger is quietly becoming one of the best players on the PGA Tour, and many people forget that he has won twice in the past 14 months.
Billy Horschel $7,100
Horschel is apparently Mr. WGC 2021. He finished runner-up at the WGC at the Concession and won the WGC Match Play. He now heads to a course where he has placed inside the top 10 in five of his past seven tries. He makes for a great value play at $7,100 as well as a good sleeper pick if you need to catch up in your one-and-done league.