This year we are going to make a format change to this weekly article and transition from daily fantasy content to betting content now that it is available in the majority of states. Each week, I will focus on three golfers to bet on whether it’s to win, top 10, top 20, top 40, head-to-head matchup, or something else that piques my eye that week. Let’s dig into this week’s bets at Kapalua:

What is needed for success at Kapalua:

  • Putting
  • Elite approach play
  • Ability to make birdies by the bunches (winning score might be 30-under)

Win: Jordan Spieth 25/1

This is a great buy-low spot for Spieth who is playing a course that really suits his game. Spieth has typically excelled throughout his career on courses that don’t cause him stress off the tee and allow him to dial in his irons with chances to make boatloads of birdies. Spieth is also a master at uneven lies, which he reminds us of every year whether here or at Augusta. He has competed here six times with three top-three finishes, including a win in 2016. If there is ever a time to get a win against a solid field, it is early in the year when some of the top players may be rusty or getting used to new equipment for 2024.

Top 10: Collin Morikawa +115

Morikawa is a model of consistency at Kapalua, finishing no worse than seventh in four appearances. He ranks second in approach and 10th in birdies. He seemed to find his game again in the fall highlighted by a win at the Zozo Championship.

Top 20: Eric Cole +140

Cole’s game is predicated on elite iron play and putting, which yields a lot of birdies. He is one of only two players in the field to rank top 10 in approach, putting, and birdies (Xander Schauffele is the other). Cole has only one finish outside the top 42 in his last 15 events (60th in Scottish Open, which is links golf). This field is 59 players so top 20 is only having to finish in the top third of the field, which is similar to a top 40 in a normal week on Tour.

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