Parlay: Jon Rahm & Xander Schauffele to finish top 40 (-140 at Fanduel)
Rahm has finished inside the top 40 in 15 of his last 18 majors. He has finished top 40 in 32 of his last 36 events overall. Similarly, Schauffele has finished inside the top 40 in 17 of his last 20 majors. He has finished top 40 in 23 of his last 24 events overall. Both players rank top 10 in approach and know how to be patient to navigate difficult, firm golf courses.
Parlay: Adam Scott & Tommy Fleetwood to make the cut (+136 at Fanduel)
Adam Scott has made the cut in 45 of his last 53 majors. He has missed only five cuts since the beginning of 2020. Similarly, Fleetwood has made the cut in 21 of his last 24 majors. He has only missed the cut 12 times in his last 143 events!!! Both of these players are elite ball strikers who come into this event fresh off of a top ten finish.
Tournament Matchup: Tyrrell Hatton over Collin Morikawa (-120 at Fanduel)
At first glance, many people would think Morikawa should be favored over Hatton based on his major results the last few years. But once we dig into the matchup, it is clear that Hatton should be favored at a line higher than -120.
Hatton has been playing so well in 2023, finishing seventh or better in seven of 15 events. This has been fueled by elite ballstriking as he has gained strokes there (off the tee plus approach) every event this year. He comes into the event on the heels of five consecutive top-20 finishes, including a third-place finish last week in Canada. He ranks top 20 in approach, off the tee, putting, and bogey avoidance.
Morikawa, on the other hand, has been struggling for a good portion of 2023. He most recently withdrew prior to the final round of The Memorial when in contention because of back issues. Even though he may say he is back to full health, one has to wonder if there still is some pain and lingering issue as that was only a couple weeks ago. He has finished outside the top 25 in each of his last five events.
Take the healthy and in-form Hatton over Morikawa this week.