Now that we have talked about some top players for your DraftKings lineup and some Longshots to consider, let’s take a look at a few best bets for the week so you can take home some cash while watching this great event.
Tommy Fleetwood and Adam Scott To Make the Cut (parlayed at -114 on FanDuel)
Books typically derive this price from a player’s odds to win. Fleetwood and Scott are undervalued in the made-cut market especially this week because of their lack of upside to win yet extreme level of consistency. Adam Scott has made 19 of his last 21 cuts at the Masters with his last missed cut coming back in 2009. Scott has missed only five cuts in his last 58 events overall. Tommy Fleetwood has made his last five cuts at the Masters. Fleetwood has only missed the cut three times in his last 49 events. One other item to consider is the field size as this week we only have 88 players with 50 players and ties making the weekend. About 15 of those 88 players are either amateurs or past champions well beyond their prime.
Tournament Matchup: Jon Rahm -150 over Patrick Cantlay (DraftKings)
This is a great buy low spot for Rahm as optics over the last month have led people to believe that he isn’t in great form. At Bay Hill, Rahm faltered from the top of the leaderboard in round one to a 39th-place finish. He then started well at The Players but had to withdraw after the first round due to illness. We then saw him two weeks ago at the Dell Match Play fail to get out of his group. Oh my God the sky is falling Jon Rahm has lost his game! This is just a complete overreaction. In the 10 events prior to Bay Hill, Rahm had five wins and never finished worse than eighth. The last month is just a blip on the radar and he should return to his dominating form this week. Rahm has finished 27th or better in all six Masters starts, including four top tens.
On the other hand, I feel like Cantlay is being overvalued at the moment. Yes he technically is the fourth ranked player in the world but we just haven’t seen him play like that in majors. In his last 20 majors, he has only three top 10s (most likely what will be needed to beat Rahm this week). In his five starts at Augusta as a pro, he has missed the cut twice and only finished better than 17th once. The odds -150 equate to a breakeven percentage of 60%. I have Rahm winning this matchup closer to 67% of the time which equates to a -200 line.
Justin Rose First Round (Leader +5000, Top 5 +1100, Top 10 +500, Top 20 +200)
Justin Rose has had great success over his career in opening rounds at the Masters. In his 17 appearances, he has shot 71 or better in nine opening rounds.
- 2021: 65 (1st)
- 2020: 67 (6th)
- 2017: 71 (4th)
- 2016 69 (4th)
- 2015 67 (2nd)
- 2013 70 (13th)
- 2008 68 (1st)
- 2007 69 (1st)
- 2004 67 (1st)
Rose is arguably back in the best form in years as shown by his win earlier this season at Pebble Beach. Place these wagers on Rose and sit back with a nice afternoon sweat as he plays in the fifth-to-last group Thursday.