Paulie’s Picks: 2025 RBC Heritage

In what is one of the more interesting decisions by the PGA Tour, this is now the second consecutive year the RBC Heritage has been a signature event the week following the Masters. Because most of the players in the field are likely exhausted from grinding out four days at Augusta National, I would expect that we see some weird results this week. Harbour Town can feel claustrophobic at times and requires a much different skillset from normal weeks on Tour. It places an emphasis on accuracy and precision more so than distance and aggression. Players need to tactically plod their way around the course if they want to succeed. The best advice I can give for a week like this is to try and target players who actually want to be here and enjoy the course. That may sound like a crazy statement, but believe me, there are plenty of players in this field who are burnt out, don’t care for the course, or both. Let’s look at three players to target this week to cash some bets:

‍Patrick Cantlay Top 20 -140

Cantlay has six top-seven finishes in seven appearances, including five top threes at the Heritage. That is insane consistency and upside. So how are we getting a top 20 price of -140 only? He finished 36th at the Masters but that was solely due to how he played the 15th hole (7-over par). If he just played that hole even par, Cantlay could have finished as high as T-8 and we likely would have seen a price much higher than -140. His game fits this course well as he is accurate off the tee, elite with his irons, and is more of a tactician than a bomber.

‍Daniel Berger Top 30 -137‍

Berger has finished top 30 in his last seven events, many of which came on courses that don’t fit his game that well, such as Augusta National, Bay Hill, and Torrey Pines. Now he heads to a course that rewards his precision. Elite in both accuracy off the tee and iron play, Berger’s ability to work the ball is key. He has finished 21st or better in his last three starts at this event, so look for Berger to extend his streak to eight top 30 finishes in a row.

‍Matt Kuchar Top 40 -125‍

Kuchar has finished 23rd or better in 10 of his last 11 appearances at this tournament. Now yes, these weren’t in signature events, but they were with full fields compared to only 72 players this week. He hasn’t really flashed much in 2025 but has played well at courses that fit him well where he has historically had success (21st at Sony Open, 18th Valero Texas Open). Fully rested after not playing in the Masters and receiving a sponsor’s invite this week, look for Kuchar to put together a solid Kuchar-esque finish to help us cash a top 40 bet in this small field.

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