After a year of reduced capacity, the Waste Management Phoenix Open returns with the biggest and noisiest crowd on the PGA Tour.
The host course, TPC Scottsdale, is a par 71 measuring a relatively short 7,200 yards, putting an emphasis on short irons, putting, and par-5 scoring. All three par 5s will be reachable for most of the field and should yield a birdie rate north of 40%. If players don’t take advantage of the par 5s, they won’t have a chance to win this week. Only one par 4 at TPC Scottsdale measures less than 420 yards, so we will see a lot of approach shots from the 150-yard range. Once players get to the green, they will find overseeded Bermuda that rolls very pure and at above-average speeds.
Let’s take a look at a few good targets for your fantasy leagues:
Bubba Watson $9,000
Yes, this price seems a bit high for Bubba in a field as strong as this one, but that may keep his ownership from being sky-high, which makes him a more attractive play. He found himself on the wrong end of Harold Varner’s long winning putt in Saudi Arabia last week. But Watson was stellar in that tournament, and the Waste Management Phoenix Open is typically one of his top five events each year. TPC Scottsdale gives him latitude to play creatively, which explains why he has finished in the top 15 in seven of his past 10 starts here, racking up five top fives in the process. He is above average in short irons, birdies, and par-5 scoring. His putter is hot and cold, but when it’s hot, he tends to win or come close.
Webb Simpson $8,600
Simpson ranks well above average in short irons, putting, and par-5 scoring. This year, he has a lot to prove now that he is finally back to 100% health after battling Covid and a neck injury in 2021. He was extremely focused in the offseason, knowing he needs a lot of high finishes if he wants to qualify for this fall’s Presidents Cup at his home course, Quail Hollow. No better place to start than at TPC Scottsdale, where he won in 2020 and finished in the top 10 in five of his past nine appearances.
Seamus Power $8,400
Although Power has been playing well week after week, DraftKings has struggled to increase his price enough. He has finished 15th or better in seven of his past eight events and in all four of his starts in 2022. He comes into the Waste Management Phoenix Open on the heels of a ninth-place finish at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, where he held a commanding 36-hole lead. Power’s game is a good fit for TPC Scottsdale, as he is an above-average short-iron player and top 20 in putting, birdies, and par-5 scoring.