The PGA Tour makes the trek north to Pebble Beach this week for a Signature Event that features 80 players with no cut. Each player will play one round each at Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill over the first two days. The final two rounds will be contested at Pebble Beach. This is going to be a very interesting week as we have so many unknowns about some of the world’s top players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth, all three of which are making their 2025 Tour debuts this week.

So what does it take to succeed this week? Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill both put a reduced emphasis on driving distance as courses are short compared to PGA Tour standards. As such, many players opt for less than driver off the tee which allows some of the more wayward players to find more fairways than they are used to. Also, there is a higher portion of approach shots with short irons and wedges compared to a normal stop on Tour. Therefore, there is also less emphasis on long and mid irons this week. So with driving stats and mid/long iron game muted a bit, this allows many of the longshot players a chance to contend. The way to the top this week will be based on elite short iron/wedge play, combined with a hot putter and elite around-the-green game due to the small putting surfaces.

Patrick Cantlay Top 20 -120

Cantlay has finished top 20 in each of his last five events including a fifth at the AmEx and 15th at the Sentry. He has finished 11th or better in each of his last four appearances at Pebble. With so much uncertainty around the top players in this field, Cantlay should have a great chance to contend and cash a top-20 wager for us.

Jason Day Top 20 +135

Pebble Beach has arguably been the best course for Jason Day in his career. Eight of his last nine appearances at Pebble have resulted in a finish of 11th or better. Now I know most of those fields were weaker but they did have a much larger size. Either way, Day has shown a real affinity for this event. His game is trending in the right direction as he has gained strokes off the tee, on approach, and around the green in each of his last two starts. The last time Day did that? 2020! If Day brings any semblance of that ballstriking this week to combine with his elite putting, there is a great chance at another top-20 finish.

Harry Hall Top 30 +138

Hall got into this event on a last-minute sponsor invite. He has made a massive leap forward over the last few months finishing 21st or better in each of his last six events. This includes top 10s at both the Sony Open and Sentry. Hall’s game is predicated on an elite short game. His largest weakness in his game is his accuracy off the tee. However, that is muted a bit this week. If we look at where Hall has the most success with his approach play, it is with his short irons and wedges more than his mid or long irons. So we have a player in great form, now playing a course which suits his skillset greatly. Hard to ignore a top-30 wager at +138 for Hall.

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