This week marks the start of a new era on the PGA Tour as the top-tier players will compete against each other more often via the dawn of “designated events.” This week’s Waste Management Phoenix Open features every healthy top player in the world rankings (the non-LIV eligible ones). This should create great drama for TV and provide for some interesting pricing for daily fantasy because of the strong field. So what is the special recipe for success at TPC Scottsdale? Well, this may sound over simplistic but players who can keep it in play off the tee and are elite with their irons, particularly from 150-175 yards, have the best chance to succeed. So it’s no surprise that we have seen winners here such as Hideki Matsuyama (twice), Webb Simpson, Gary Woodland, and Rickie Fowler. Let’s take a look at three players who fit that bill this year:

Collin Morikawa $9,700

Morikawa ranks first in the field in approach overall and first from 150-175 yards. This is a great buy low leverage spot for him. Most people still think he is in a slump, which is far from true. He has finished second and third in two starts in 2023 and his iron game seems to be back to the 2021 form that we got used to. Morikawa’s game is built on accuracy off the tee and elite iron play. He typically wins when he has an above-average putting week. This course is perfectly suited for him to once again find the winner’s circle.

Tom Kim $9,100

Tom Kim is very similar to Morikawa, in that he will keep it in play off the tee, without having power at the most elite level, and then back that up with above-average iron play. He can be dominant with his irons especially from 150-175 yards. where he ranks second in this field behind Morikawa. He has gained at least two strokes on approach in every event in the last seven months. The one concern is his putter, but we have seen plenty of subpar putters win here by catching fire on these easy-to-read smooth greens. In Kim’s two victories, he got hot with that club, gaining a combined 18.6 strokes on the greens. If he catches a hot putter like that this week, he could very well win.

Russell Henley $7,400

I think you are beginning to see a trend here: accurate drivers who are also elite iron players and have the ability for an unconscious week with the putter. It’s only natural to then take a look at Russell Henley. Henley ranks second overall in approach and fourth from 150-175 yards. He has caught fire with his putter plenty of times in his career and often contends or wins in those weeks. The $7,400 price is a cheap one for a proven winner on the PGA Tour, who also happens to already have a win under his belt this season.