Paulie’s Picks: 2024 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

The Tour heads from Mexico to Bermuda this week for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship held once again at Port Royal Golf Course. Last week, players were faced with a long golf course that forced many players to hit long approach shots from large fairways. This week, Port Royal will play around 6,800 yards and give players plenty of scoring opportunities. Success at Port Royal comes down to two key areas: putting and the ability to control the ball in the wind. We are expecting heavy winds all week, which will force players to adapt to different conditions. Let’s take a look at three players who excel in the wind and are above-average putters.

Sam Stevens: Top 30, -150

Stevens ranks first in this field in strong winds, gaining nearly two strokes per round on his competitors. He also ranks second in the field in putting in windy conditions. Seems like we hit the jackpot here in terms of skillset required. He also comes into this event in great form after finishing sixth in Mexico and 23rd in the Zozo and Shriners. A top-30 finish seems likely this week for Stevens.

Daniel Berger: Top 30, -140

If you told me a few years ago I would be writing about betting a top 30 for Daniel Berger in the Bermuda Championship I would have called you crazy considering he seemed destined to be one of the better players on Tour. Fast forward a few years and a few injuries later, Berger is battling back for his Tour card for 2025. Berger ranks second in the field gaining over 1.5 strokes per round in windy conditions. He has always been known as a player who has great control of his irons and the ability to move the ball in any direction or height that he needs. Many of his best results on Tour have come in windy conditions. He also is an above-average putter, especially in the wind. Berger comes into this event in good form finishing top 40 in each of his last four events including a 20th last week in Mexico and a seventh at Sanderson Farms.

Brendon Todd: Top 30, +115

Todd has played this event three times and has two top-20 finishes including a win in 2019. Todd ranks 11th overall in the field in windy conditions and ninth in putting in windy conditions. He isn’t the longest hitter in the world so the 6,800-yard test this week is a welcome reprieve from the 7,500-yard courses he normally faces on Tour.