This week sees the PGA Tour head to Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson. In what is likely to be a confusing fall for many golf fans, we have players battling for their jobs for 2024 while others are battling for spots in signature events.
What does it take to succeed at this course? We see players who either are elite with their irons or elite with distance off the tee have success at the Sanderson. Putting seems to be highly variable at this event. Some of the worst putters on Tour have above average weeks on the greens at this course. I suggest targeting players who can either bomb it off the tee or are elite with approach play and hope you catch a hot putting week. I fully expect lots of variance in results this fall, as these fields are very weak due to nearly all of the top players taking time off. And the playing schedule over the last few months has been hit or miss for the players actually in the field, so we have a spotty record of form.
What I’m really saying is this: approach betting these events with a bit of caution. With that being said, let’s take a look at a few players to look at this week:
Nick Dunlap Top 30 -110
This is a complete free roll for Dunlap this week. He already has status for next year as he won twice in 2024. He arguably has the most upside of any player in the field. The Alabama native is very comfortable with golf in this area of the country, and he bombs the ball off the tee. If he has any semblance of a putter this week, he will contend and cash this bet for us.
Seamus Power Top 30 -105
Power has finished in the top 30 in four of his six appearances at this event. He’s battled injuries for the last few years, but he’s finally back healthy. His game has been quietly trending in the right direction over the last few months. We now get the chance to bet on him in a week where a very weak field means Power boasts one of the best overall skill sets.
Henrik Norlander Top 40 -115
Norlander ranks top five in this field in approach this year. So it shouldn’t come as a surprise that he has finished top four in three of the last four years. He comes into this event in good form, finishing 11th or better in three of his last six events worldwide. At only -115 odds to finish top 40, that is a must bet for me.
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