The PGA Tour’s annual fall stop off the Las Vegas strip is a complete birdie-fest. TPC Summerlin is your typical TPC desert course that the best in the world will carve up, with a winner often rocketing past the 20-under mark. Looking at the winners and contenders, no one skill is clearly best-suited with a variety of players succeeding here over the years. But given the low scores, your wedge game and putter cannot be off on a week like this if you want to be in the hunt on Sunday afternoon. Let’s take a look at a few players to target this week:
Taylor Montgomery $9,500
Montgomery, the UNLV grad, has been on fire over the past few months, earning his card via the Korn Ferry Tour. He finished 15th or better in 11 of his final 13 KFT starts in 2022. He has continued that stellar play in his two PGA Tour appearances of the 2022-23 season, finishing third at the Fortinet and ninth at the Sanderson Farms. He is an elite putter who can stack up birdies. I like him to hang around the top of the leaderboard again this week.
Cameron Davis $9,200
Davis is fresh off of a massive confidence boost at the Presidents Cup. He played brilliantly at Quail Hollow, hitting clutch shot after clutch shot. His form was solid well before that event, however: he has finished 16th or better in five of his past seven starts. He now heads to TPC Summerlin, which is well suited to his skillset. He is the No. 1 wedge player in the field and an above-average putter, and he ranks third in birdies. Look for Davis to be in contention come Sunday.
Kurt Kitayama $7,500
Kitayama is going under the radar this week even though he had a solid 2022 season and has local ties, having played golf at UNLV. I’m not sure why the 56th-ranked player in the world is priced so cheap. Kitayama arrives at the Shriners Children’s Open off a seventh-place finish at the Italian Open three weeks ago. But he has been playing well all year, coming close to victory at the Mexico Open (runner-up), Scottish Open (runner-up), and the Honda Classic (third). He is the eighth-ranked player in my data model this week—fifth in birdies and above average with his wedges and putter (with a preference toward the kind of bentgrass greens that we’ll see at TPC Summerlin).