For the players, this week’s Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands will be a welcome reprieve from the tough scoring conditions at the U.S. Open. There will be an abundance of wedges into greens and birdie opportunities, with an expected winning score around -18 on this par-70 course. Even though the TPC River Highlands is under 6,900 yards, players can get aggressive off the tee on many holes if they want. As a result, gaining strokes off the tee will be paramount. Contenders will need to either bomb it and keep it somewhat in play or hit a lot of fairways. Either way, expect plenty of wedge approaches.
Here are a few guys to target for the Travelers Championship:
Mito Pereira $8,700
Pereira missed the cut last week on the number. He would have made the cut in a normal week on tour, as he was 65th after 2 rounds. Prior to that, he finished 27th or better in seven straight events. Mito is a ball-striking machine: top five in approach, off the tee, and short-iron proximity. That’s a great combination for TPC River Highlands.
Brendan Steele $7,700
Steele has quietly made his last six cuts, including top 10s in his last two events. He ranks second off the tee and is historically a strong driver of the ball. So it should come as no surprise that he has finished 25th or better in seven of the past nine years at the Travelers Championship.
Tom Hoge $7,400
Hoge is arguably the most mispriced player this week. How can the 41st-ranked player in the OWGR be $7,400, similar to Aaron Rai and C.T. Pan, who are both well outside the top 100 in the world? Hoge’s price, based on his pedigree alone, should be in the low $8,000s. He is the 15th overall ranked player in my data model, as he is 15th in approach and above average in every other metric. Take the price savings and lock Hoge into your lineup.